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EUROPE

This report is issued directly to KC4COP  (www.zseltvay.com)  from the

Australian Space Forecast Center.  Data is re-published on this

Web Site for the convenience of the amateur radio community

  Click on Image to go to enlarged SIDC Solar Map

 with Sunspots clearly shown and Numbered (442 KB)

 

 

SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT

 

courtesy smiley central

 

 

The Following information is intended to be used for 12 - 13 Jan 2007

 

SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT

ISSUED AT 12/0630Z JAN 2007 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES

FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY

GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 11 01 07

Flares: none.

 

PCA Event : No event.

Observed T index: 19

Observed European Region MUFS:

Mostly near predicted monthly values,

 

2. FORECAST FOR 12 01 2007

Forecast T index: 40

Forecast European Region MUFS:

Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.

Rest of day: Near predicted monthly values

 

IPS Radio and Space Services


--------------------------------------------------------------------- 

 

Explanation below is from the Web Site's Sunspot Counting Methods page.

Following the explanation of foF2,  Current Solar and Geomagnetic Conditions are listed BELOW

  

General Note - Applies to All Global Reports using  Ionosonde Measurements. 

One new way used to determine solar activity is to measure the effects that  solar activity has on the ionosphere. Ionospheric Profiling uses relatively easily measured ionospheric properties in place of calculating the effects of solar activity by counting sunspots.. An example is the ionosonde. The  ionosonde gives a real-time ionospheric profile. Among other things, the ionosonde is relatively simple to operate, measurements are relatively easy to interpret, and its use eliminates some of the guess work in determining solar activity by doing away with measurements such as the K-coefficients and Wolf adjustments.

 

The foF2 value is the highest frequency that a vertically radiated signal will be reflected off of the F2-Layer of the ionosphere back to Earth. It does not measure radio wave refraction since a radio wave may be turned away from traveling in a straight line (refracted) as it passes from one medium (concentrated ionic gases) into another -  and still travel  into space without being reflected back to earth. 

Any portion of a radio wave still usable for communications at another location on Earth is reflected off of the Earth. It is not refracted off of the Earth's surface.

A radio wave traveling from the Earth's surface into the ionosphere  first undergoes some refraction (bending away from a straight line of travel as it goes from one medium into another) before it can be reflected back toward Earth

The device used to make the measurement is called a ionosonde. The measurement is the ionogram.

The foF2 value is measured at a number of points around the Globe. Many measuring points are used because the value changes frequently and varies widely with location and time of day. These measured values are called ionograms. Comments about ionograms and maps displaying values obtained are frequently found throughout the Web Site.

f=observed frequency

        o=using the "ordinary" wave (radio waves traveling through the

            ionosphere are split by the geomagnetic force into two                             

            parts. The components are known as "ordinary" (o)

            and  "extraordinary" (x).                

        (x=refers to extraordinary waves and but for this comment is ignored here)

        F=height of F2 layer

How well is the height of the F2 reflection known and how well is the maximum frequency that will be returned back to Earth known (MFU - maximum usable frequency)? Quiet well is the answer to both questions. Ionosonde instruments are wide spread and operate using standard methods. Their common mode of operation allows a ham to bootleg off of a signal. Signals from ionosondes at known locations can be used to determine the MUF near the ham's ionosonde receiving station.


The  ionosonde data that IPS used to produce the above map of the European region come from:


 

 

ASIA

"The highest (see note) frequency which the ionosphere will reflect vertically is called foF2. These foF2 measurements from various sites can be used to create a map of foF2."

 

"The above map can be used as a guide to NVIS ionospheric frequency support." IPS

 

Ionospheric Maps:

Additional Data for Europe is on these following pages

Go to Global Geophysical Conditions and Forecast Page 1

Go to Global Geophysical Conditions and Forecast Page 2

Go to Satellite page

conditions